有关金子的几张图
<P> </P><P>金子600年历史</P> <P> </P>
<P>美指美股美债金对比图</P> <P> </P>
<P>道指与金价比例1901-2009</P> <P> </P>
<P>美联邦利率与金价</P> 你那个金子600年的图从哪找的啊？以前的金价是怎莫计算的啊？ 650 Year Gold Price
http://www.sharelynx.com/chartsfixed/600yeargoldprice.gif 超级喜欢“道指与金价比例1901-2009”这张图:P
贴张最新的。
DOW/GOLD 原帖由 paulzhu 于 2008-9-27 03:51 发表 http://www.china-midas.cn/bbs/images/common/back.gifDOW/GOLD
帮你补个解说:lol
The Dow/Gold Ratio chart shows the ratio of the price of the Dow to the price of gold. Another way to look at it is the number of ounces of gold it takes to buy one share of the Dow. For example, with the Dow at 10,000 and gold at 500, it requires 20 ounces of gold to buy one share of the Dow, so the ratio is 20. The reason for using gold is that gold is the most unbiased form of money in existence. Fake government paper money comes and goes, but gold has been money for thousands of years. It is the ultimate store of wealth.
The chart shows the cyclical nature of the battle between paper assets and hard assets. Paper assets excel when everyone is fixated on growth. When the growth phase ends, and preservation of wealth becomes the paramount concern, gold tends to excel. When paper burns, gold shines.
The long term trend of the ratio is up at a rate of 1.25% per year. This should be expected as the process of mining gold becomes more efficient and cheaper due to advances in machinery, energy, exploration technology, chemicals, etc. In fact, the advances in mining probably match the efficiency gains seen in the economy in general.
The ratio has stayed within a defined channel except for an over shoot around 1980. An explanation for the over shoot could be to compensate for the extended amount of time that the ratio spent above the trend in the 1960s. When it did finally snap back, it over compensated. Because the spike up and the stay above the trend this time have been much shorter, I do not expected another exaggerated spike down below the trend.
The Dow/Gold Ratio chart shows that we could be witnessing the end of an era for equities. Stocks had an 18 year bull market where buy and hold was the guaranteed way to make money. Unfortunately for the stock market bulls, asset classes go in and out of favor, and the next great asset class may very well be gold. The chart shows that it would be logical to expect the ratio to return to a value around 6. Perhaps a ratio of 6 would be gold 1200, Dow 7200.
The final bottom in the gold bear market was in April 2001. The raw gold chart came from the Kitco site: http://www.kitco.com 再补个图 多谢更新和解说:handshake :)
:handshake :handshake :handshake 好漂亮的DOW/GOLD,有数据源吗?谢谢. 感谢分享 感谢分享!!! 600年白银及黄金白银比
页:
[1]